PULSO NG PILIPINAS

Shaping Paranaque's Future - A Multifaceted Public Opinion Survey of Public Aspirations - PRE-COC Filing

Executive Summary

This survey provides insights into the views and concerns of Paranaque City residents on a range of national and local issues. Conducted through face-to-face interviews, it covers pressing national issues, satisfaction with the current administration of President Ferdinand Marcos Jr., perspectives on former President Duterte and his daughter, Vice President Sara Duterte, public reactions to high-profile arrests, the importance of experience in local elections, satisfaction with local services and leadership, and concerns about flooding in their respective barangays.

• National Issues - Citizens identified specific pressing national issues that they want the government to address.

• Presidential & Vice Presidential Approval - The survey gauged public sentiment toward President Marcos Jr., Vice President Sara Duterte and former president Rodrigo Roa Duterte.

• High-Profile Arrests - Respondents shared their views on the arrests of Alice Guo and Pastor Quiboloy.

• Local Elections 2025 - The importance of experience for candidates in the upcoming local elections was assessed.

• Local Governance & Services - The survey measured satisfaction with the Paranaque City administration and basic service delivery.

• Flooding Concerns - Barangay-specific flood concerns and potential solutions were identified.

• Barangay Issues & Leadership - Pressing challenges in each barangay of Paranaque and satisfaction with current barangay leaders were explored.

• Prominent Political Figures - Residents provided descriptions and weighted responses for 11 well-known local politicians.

• Candidate Preference - In a hypothetical election scenario, respondents indicated their preferred candidates for mayor, vice mayor, and congressional representatives.

• This survey offers a comprehensive overview of public opinion in Paranaque City, providing valuable data for decision-makers, political candidates, and stakeholders interested in understanding the concerns and priorities of the city's residents.

SCIENTIFIC STUDY PARAMETERS

This comprehensive non-commissioned public opinion survey is designed to capture the diverse perspectives of Paranaque's adult population, employed a mixed-method approach incorporating both quantitative and qualitative data collection through 23 meticulously crafted questions. The survey provides promising a wealth of insights into the prevailing public opinions and concerns within the city.

The face to face random interview was conducted from September 13-18, 2024. Each researcher was equipped to gather 25 completed questionnaires, the survey aimed for a target robust sample size of 800 respondents. This extensive data collection effort, combined with the 22-question survey design, is projected to yield an impressive 18,400 potential data points, offering a granular and nuanced understanding of the community's views.

The survey specifically targeted adult residents aged 18 and above, further segmented into distinct age demographics to ensure representation across various generations. While prioritizing registered voters, the survey remained inclusive, aiming to capture the voices of all adult residents.

With a confidence level of 95% and a computed margin of error of ±4%, this survey stands as a statistically significant undertaking. The rigorous methodology and representative sampling approach enhance the reliability and validity of the survey findings, positioning them as a robust foundation for informed decision-making and policy formulation in Paranaque City.

Introduction

In an era of rapid change and complex challenges, understanding the pulse of the community is paramount for effective governance and informed decision-making. Splat Communications and Simplified Strategic Solutions undertook the non-commissioned survey entitled "Shaping Paranaque’s Future – A Muti-faceted Public Opinion Survey (Pre-COC Filing), is a comprehensive public opinion study conducted in , aimed to capture the diverse perspectives of Paranaque's residents on a range of pressing national and local issues.

This timely initiative sought to provide a platform for the voices of Paranaque's citizens, offering insights into their priorities, concerns, and aspirations. By employing a mixed-method approach, combining both quantitative and qualitative data collection, the survey aimed to paint a nuanced and holistic picture of public sentiment within the city.

Through a rigorous methodology involving face-to-face interviews with a representative sample of 800 adult residents, the survey generated a wealth of data, encompassing over 18,000 potential data points. This extensive dataset offers a unique opportunity to delve into the complexities of public opinion, identify key trends and patterns, and understand the underlying factors shaping residents' views.

The findings of this survey are poised to inform policy discussions, guide community initiatives, and foster a more responsive and inclusive governance model in Paranaque. By shedding light on the priorities and concerns of its citizens, this scientific survey serves as a valuable tool for navigating the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead, ensuring that the city's future is shaped by the collective aspirations of its people.

This report presents a detailed analysis of the survey findings, exploring the diverse perspectives of Paranaque's residents on key national and local issues. It delves into the implications of these findings for policymakers, community leaders, and other stakeholders, offering recommendations for action and highlighting areas for further research and engagement.

Key Findings

National Concerns

Public Sentiment on Leadership and Public Services

President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. enjoys high satisfaction ratings in Parañaque, with 60% of respondents expressing approval of his administration.

Rising Prices of Basic Commodities were identified as the top national issue by 50% of respondents.

The popularity of the Duterte family has seen a decline, with Rodrigo Duterte holding only 10.32% support, Vice President Sara Duterte’s satisfaction is 13.23%.

Additional concerns included illegal drugs, corruption, and education.

60% of respondents expressed satisfaction with President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.'s administration, while former President Rodrigo Duterte’s popularity waned to 10%, VP Sara Duterte also waned tio 13%

95% of the respondents were either happy or extremely happy with the capture of high profile fugitives Alice Guo and Apolo Quiboloy.

KEY FINDINGS

Local Concerns

City concerns

Illegal drug proliferation, garbage collection, and flooding remain the dominant local issues, with respondents expressing dissatisfaction with the current governance and the barangay’s ability to address these concerns.

Barangay Concerns

Illegal drugs were cited as the primary local concern by 49% of respondents in Paranaque City, followed by garbage collection (37%) and flooding (32%).

Dissatisfaction with local barangay services and Paranaque City is widespread, with only 19% of respondents expressing satisfaction.

VOTER PREFERENCES

District 1 Congress, Mayoral and Vice Mayoral Preferences

51% of respondents from District 1 favored incumbent Paranaque District 1 Congressman Edwin Olivarez as their preferred mayoral candidate in 2025, followed by Aileen Claire Olivarez at 40%.

In the vice mayoral race, Benjo Bernabe secured 37% of voter support, followed by Rico Golez with 32%. Incumbent City Vice Mayor Joanne Villafuerte follows with 29% preference share.

Eric Olivarez remains the dominant candidate for District 1 congressional representative with 71% of respondents favoring him, followed by Pablo Olivarez III with 18%, and Jun Zaide with 9%.

District 2 Congress, Mayoral and Vice Mayoral Preferences

In District 2, Aileen Claire Olivarez is the leading mayoral candidate with 52% of respondents supporting her. Edwin Olivarez follows with 29.95%, and Jun Zaide trails at 2.79%. 15.48% of respondents remain undecided.

Benjo Bernabe holds the vice mayoral lead with 33.25% of voter preference, followed by Rico Golez at 29.19% and Joanne Villafuerte with 18.02%. 13.71% of respondents remain undecided.

Gus Tambunting is the preferred candidate in District 2 for congressional representative, receiving 54% of voter support, followed by party-list Congressman Brian Yamsuan at 25% and Rico Golez at 12.94%. 7.87% remain undecided.

City-Wide Results

City-Wide Mayoral Preferences

Across the entire city, Aileen Claire Olivarez garnered 46% of voter preference for mayor, placing her ahead of Congressman Edwin Olivarez, who earned 38%. Jun Zaide received 5%, while 11% of voters remain undecided.

City-Wide Vice Mayoral Preferences

Benjo Bernabe led the vice mayoral race with 34% of the vote, followed by Rico Golez at 29%, and Joanne Villafuerte at 22%.

Implications for 2025 Elections

The survey indicates shifting voter preferences ahead of the 2025 local elections, with Aileen Claire Olivarez emerging as a strong contender for the mayoral seat across both districts.

Name recognition and reputation are key factors in shaping voter opinions. Aileen Claire Olivarez secured 85.03% name recall in District 2, positioning her as a prominent figure in the 2025 mid-term elections.

The "Shaping Parañaque's Future" survey provides critical insights into the concerns and aspirations of Parañaque City residents. As the 2025 elections approach, candidates must address these pressing issues, particularly related to governance, public services, and safety. The survey’s findings offer invaluable data for political stakeholders, policy-makers, and community leaders to better understand and serve the city's diverse population.

CAVEAT

The scientific survey conducted by Splat Communications and Simplified Strategic Solutions for Parañaque City voter preferences ahead of the filing of Certificates of Candidacies for the May 2025 elections provides valuable insights into public opinion regarding candidates for Mayor, Vice-Mayor, District 1 Congress Representative, and District 2 Congress Representative.

However, it is important to note that the results represent voter sentiments at the time of data collection and may not fully capture shifts in preference in the succeeding months. Factors such as campaign dynamics, emerging issues, and candidate activities could influence voter attitudes. Additionally, while every effort was made to ensure a representative sample, variations in respondent demographics or unforeseen external influences may affect the generalizability of the findings. These results should be interpreted with these considerations in mind.